Despite price declines in many sectors, the Federal Reserve may continue its hawkish approach.
The Federal Reserve affirmed its commitment to price stability, hiking its policy rate 75 basis points again and signaling more tightening to come.
Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) have faced unique challenges in 2022, but these challenges also create attractive new opportunities for active management.
June’s U.S. inflation data will likely force central bankers into more restrictive territory – raising the odds of recession.
The varied responses of individual countries to global inflationary pressures have contributed to elevated real-rate differentials between developed and emerging markets.
We believe shorter business cycles, elevated volatility, and diminished policy responses warrant a focus on portfolio resilience over reaching for yield.
By Marc P. Seidner | This year’s surge in yields is restoring value to the bond market, especially with the likelihood of a recession rising, although it remains uncertain when market momentum might turn.
By Allison Boxer | The Federal Reserve ratchets up the pace of monetary tightening, raising questions about the U.S. growth outlook.
Despite soaring inflation in Europe, hedges appear cheap
The proliferation of semiconductors throughout our economy may drive more durable, less cyclical demand and earnings.
By Allison Boxer | Federal Reserve hikes policy rate 50 basis points, while remaining flexible in fighting inflation.
The countries’ weight in global trade is relatively small, but outsize exports of raw and semi-finished goods may portend price hikes across a variety of industries.
As the West cuts Russian energy supplies, U.S. shale oil and natural gas producers may regain global dominance.
By Carol Liao | While Beijing has set an ambitious growth target this year with a generous fiscal stimulus plan, new COVID-19 waves are adding to mounting headwinds amid a slowing global economy.
By Marc P. Seidner | Parsing the yield curve can lead to a variety of conclusions about whether a downturn is coming, while underscoring the importance of flexibility.
Supply chains set to become less dependent on China over time.
Significant uncertainty clouds the outlook as the global economy confronts a shock that is negative for growth and will likely spur further inflation. Recession risks have increased.
By Allison Boxer | The U.S. Federal Reserve raised the policy rate at the March meeting and signaled more hikes to come given the risks from high inflation.
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