The UK is now entering a period of significantly greater uncertainty as the political outlook has become more clouded.

The U.S. will likely face recession in the next five years. How should investors prepare?

The global economy faces several potential pivots in the direction and scale of monetary, fiscal, trade, geopolitical and exchange rate policies. One in particular will help determine the long-term outlook for China and emerging Asia.

The Fed’s “opportunistic tightening” campaign risks cementing inflation expectations below the target.

Why China’s yield curve became inverted and what it means for the economy.

Why falling commodity prices may not upend the EM rally.

May’s inflation weakness was broad-based across goods and services categories and will be more difficult for Fed officials to dismiss as a “one-off.”

The Fed hiked despite a spate of weak economic data.

We think those expecting a “bubble to burst” as the Fed balance sheet shrinks may be greatly underwhelmed.

While our baseline global forecast is relatively benign for Canadian growth over the secular horizon, we do highlight a number of risks that could cause external shocks to Canada’s small, open economy.

The yawning gap between emerging market (EM) and developed market (DM) fixed income yields highlights continued opportunity in EM debt. Investors may want to adjust their allocations accordingly.