By Pramol Dhawan, Lupin Rahman | Nov 08, 2022 Peak Inflation May Hint at Peak Rates in Emerging Markets Inflation is receding and real interest rates are climbing in EM after a year of tightening monetary policy.
By Carol Liao, Stephen Chang | Nov 03, 2022 Continuity and Concrete Direction: Takeaways From China’s 20th Party Congress Stability, security and self-reliance were overarching themes from China’s twice-a-decade leadership reshuffle. With few details disclosed on near-term supporting policies, we remain cautious on the Chinese market.
By Pramol Dhawan, Lupin Rahman | Aug 31, 2022 Spotting Opportunities and Risks Across the EM Investment Universe Emerging market valuations appear attractive, but country-specific risks can be critical to monitor amid global inflation and rising interest rates.
By Alex Zhou, Annisa Lee | Aug 08, 2022 China’s Mortgage Boycott: Could Property Sector Cracks Lead to Systemic Risk? Our stress tests show the Chinese banking sector as a whole can absorb shocks from a severe downside scenario, but mid-sized banks and contagion pose potential risks.
By Carol Liao, Allison Boxer | Jul 26, 2022 What China’s Recovering Supply Chain Means for Global Inflation Renewed growth in China’s manufacturing activity, coupled with softening developed market demand, should ease some supply-side pressures – but several other inflation risks remain prevalent.
By Pramol Dhawan, Lupin Rahman | Jun 23, 2022 Assessing Inflation’s Effects Across Emerging Markets The varied responses of individual countries to global inflationary pressures have contributed to elevated real-rate differentials between developed and emerging markets.
By Gene Frieda, Pramol Dhawan | May 28, 2021 Emerging Markets Through the Looking Glass: Signs of Growth Potential Post-Pandemic Natural herd immunity in predominantly young emerging markets populations looks set to offset slower vaccine rollouts, setting the stage for a resurgence in economic growth.
By Gene Frieda, Carol Liao | Mar 05, 2021 Implications of China’s Credit Curtail China’s economy should see a soft landing as stimulus is reduced, but the drag on global growth may place a burden on developed economies to keep stimulus taps open for longer.
By Gene Frieda, Pramol Dhawan | Jan 19, 2021 Tail Winds Provide Lift for Emerging Markets Investments A confluence of dynamics are set to accelerate global capital flows to emerging markets amid attractive valuations.
By Lupin Rahman, Pramol Dhawan | Dec 04, 2020 Harvesting Yield in Emerging Markets Debt of many emerging market countries can offer robust yields and enhance portfolio diversification, provided the asset manager has the resources and sophistication to avoid potential pitfalls.
By Gene Frieda | Mar 05, 2020 Don’t Fret About the Big Build-Up in Emerging Market Debt Headline figures may seem alarming but the real picture is much more nuanced
By Gene Frieda, Stephen Chang | Jan 23, 2020 China: Buying Time Is Not Cheap In prioritizing stability over all other objectives, China is borrowing from future growth while reducing policy ammunition to counter future shocks.
By Yacov Arnopolin, Lupin Rahman, Vinicius Silva | Oct 25, 2019 10 Key Investor Takeaways From the 2019 Annual Meetings of the IMF and World Bank Trade, geopolitics, and emerging markets were top of mind at the recent annual meetings.
By Daniel J. Ivascyn | Sep 19, 2019 Green Shoots in Global Markets Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses the risks and opportunities in emerging markets and where investors can find high conviction ideas globally.
By Gene Frieda, Taosha Wang | May 02, 2019 India’s Post-Election Outlook: A Fine Balance A new round of reforms could help maintain the delicate balance between growth and financial prudence.
By Yacov Arnopolin, Gene Frieda, Lupin Rahman, Vinicius Silva | Apr 18, 2019 10 Investor Takeaways From the 2019 Spring IMFWorld Bank Meetings The overall tone at the mid-April meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group in Washington, DC, was optimistic, albeit mindful of the differentiated political and idiosyncratic risks across emerging markets.
By Brian Holmes | Mar 20, 2019 Moral Hazard in Emerging Markets: Papering Over the Cracks With a patchwork of lenders now willing to provide financing on noncommercial terms to countries in distress, “moral hazard plays” have proliferated in emerging markets.
By Emmanuel Roman | Dec 27, 2018 Emerging Markets: Risks and Opportunities Learn the key factors we watch in assessing investments in emerging markets.
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Alex Zhou Allison Boxer Annisa Lee Brian Holmes Carol Liao Daniel J. Ivascyn Emmanuel Roman Gene Frieda Geraldine Sundstrom Ismael Orenstein Joachim Fels Lupin Rahman Pramol Dhawan Scott A. Mather Stephen Chang Taosha Wang Vinicius Silva Yacov Arnopolin
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